For Mon, 3/1, close:

Gold Stock model: The prediction numbers are slightly positive now.The model is back 100% in cash.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers are slightly positive. Currently 100% in cash. Last signal made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ...currently this model is still 100% long, as of the close 2/11, about 1775.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is 100% long, from Monday's opening price, 1110.00. I entered long on Tuesday below 1098.00
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Model [details] : This model switched to Long at 1108.01 (on the close 2/22/10). Previous signals: Long on 3/30/09 at 787.53, to cash 1/25/10 at 1096.78.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%

For Fri, 2/26, close:

Gold Stock model: The prediction numbers are neutral now.The model is back 100% in cash.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers are slightly positive. Currently 100% in cash. Last signal made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ...currently this model is still 100% long, as of the close 2/11, about 1775.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is 100% long, from Monday's opening price, 1110.00. I entered long on Tuesday below 1098.00
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Mode [details] : This modelswitched to Long at 1108.01 (on the close 2/22/10). Previous signals: Long on 3/30/09 at 787.53, to cash 1/25/10 at 1096.78.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%

For Thur, 2/25, close:

Gold Stock model: The prediction numbers are negative now.The model is back 100% in cash.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers are slightly positive. Currently 100% in cash. Last signal made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ...currently this model is still 100% long, as of the close 2/11, about 1775.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is 100% long, from Monday's opening price, 1110.00. I entered long on Tuesday below 1098.00
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Mode [details] : This model switched to Long at 1108.01 (on the close 2/22/10). Previous signals: Long on 3/30/09 at 787.53, to cash 1/25/10 at 1096.78.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%

For Wed, 2/24, close:

Gold Stock model: The prediction numbers are negative now.The model is back 100% in cash.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers are slightly positive. Currently 100% in cash. Last signal made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ...currently this model is still 100% long, as of the close 2/11, about 1775.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is 100% long, from Monday's opening price, 1110.00. I entered long on Tuesday below 1098.00
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Mode [details] : This modelswitched to Long at 1108.01 (on the close 2/22/10). Previous signals: Long on 3/30/09 at 787.53, to cash 1/25/10 at 1096.78.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%

For Tue, 2/23, close:

Gold Stock model: The prediction numbers are barely negative now.The model is back 100% in cash.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers are slightly positive. Currently 100% in cash. Last signal made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ...currently this model is still 100% long, as of the close 2/11, about 1775.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is 100% long, from Monday's opening price, 1110.00. My current plan is to not go long until the SP500 drops down to about 1098.00 - 1095.00.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Mode [details] : This model switched to Long at 1108.01 (on the close 2/22/10). Previous signals: Long on 3/30/09 at 787.53, to cash 1/25/10 at 1096.78.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%

For Fri, 2/19, close:

[ SPX models are signaling it is time to go back long. It is hard to believe. It seems like the markets should go lower. I am not currently planning to go long until the SP500 is in the 1090's. ]

Gold Stock model: The prediction numbers are barely positive now.The model is back 100% in cash.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overallprediction numbers are slightly negative. Currently 100% in cash. Last signal made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ...currently this model is still 100% long, as of the close 2/11.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model was short 33% from 1092.40. Now the model switches to 100% long, from Monday's opening price. I will not go long until the SP500 drops down to about 1098.00
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Mode [details] : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Now it changes back to Long (on the close Monday). Previous signal: went Long the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%

For Fri, 2/19, close:

Gold Stock model: The prediction numbers are barely positive now.The model is back 100% in cash.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers are slightly negative. Currently 100% in cash. Last signal made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ...currently this model is still 100% long, as of the close 2/11.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is short 33% from 1092.40.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Mode [details] : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Previous signal: went Long the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.

For Thur, 2/18, close:

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Gold Stock model: The prediction numbers are mildly positive now.The model is back 100% in cash. Target Profit hit at 165.00.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers are slightly negative. Currently 100% in cash. Last signal made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ...currently this model is still 100% long, as of the close 2/11.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is short 33% from 1092.40.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Mode [details] : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Previous signal: went Long the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.

For Wed, 2/17, close:

[ you can get each post delivered to you by email, each morning before the market opens, by entering your email in the box to the right ]

Gold Stock model: The prediction numbers are positive now.The model gave a buy signal, based on last Monday's close, XAU at 149.34. Stop loss will be 141.20, Target Profit will be 165.00. XAU got to about 164.8 today. This position should be closed out (back to cash), with a nice profit.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers are slightly negative. Currently 100% in cash. Last signal made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX modelmoves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ...currently this model is 100% long, as of the close 2/11.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is short 33% from 1092.40. I lightened up on my short position when the SP500 was below 1060, and have now re-established that short position.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Mode [explanation] : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Previous signal: went Long the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.

Tuesday 2/16:

The XAU hit 164.80 this morning... almost reaching the 165.00 target. I am already out of the position. If I would still in the position, I would liquidate the position and go back to cash now (XAU = 163.80). Or else one could simply have a much tighter trailing stop.

For Tue, 2/16, close:

Gold Stock models: The prediction numbers are positive now.The model gave a buy signal, based on last Monday's close, XAU at 149.34. Stop loss will be 141.20, Target Profit will be 165.00. I exited with the XAU around 160 on Thursday. If the XAU gets above 163.00, I would probably use a 3% trailing stop.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers were slightly positive, now turning slightly negative. Currently 100% in cash. Last signal made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ... currently this model is 100% long, as of the close 2/11.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is short 33% from 1092.40. I lightened up on my short position when the SP500 was below 1060, and will re-establish that short position if the SP500 gets above 1083.00.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Mode [explanation] : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Previous signal: went Long the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.

For Fri, 2/12, close:

Gold Stock models: The prediction numbers are positive now. The model gave a buy signal, based on Monday's close, XAU at 149.34. Stop loss will be 141.20, Target Profit will be 165.00. I exited with the XAU around 160 on Thursday. If the XAU gets above 163.00, probably worth using a 3% trailing stop on this position.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers were slightly positive, now turning slightly negative. Currently 100% in cash. Last signal made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ... currently this model is 100% long, as of the close 2/11.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is short 33% from 1092.40. I lightened up on my short position when the SP500 was below 1060 on Friday, and will re-establish that short position if the SP500 gets above 1083.00 this week.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Mode [explanation] : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Previous signal: went Long the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.

For Thur, 2/11, close:

Gold Stock models: The prediction numbers are positive now.The model gave a buy signal on the close, 1/21 with XAU at159.49. The model is now back in cash. Usually there is a one-day advance notice of a signal, this is unusual. The model gives a new buy signal, based on Monday's close, XAU at 149.34. Stop loss will be 141.20, Target Profit will be 165.00.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overallprediction numbers are mildly negative. Currently 100% in cash. Signal just ended made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ... currently this model is 100% in cash. But IF the VXN (nasdaq volatility) closes at 25.01 or below, then the model will give a Buy signal on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is short 33% from 1092.40. I lightened up on my short position when the SP500 was below 1060 on Friday, and will re-establish that short position if the SP500 gets above 1083.00 this week.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Mode [explanation] : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Previous signal: went Long the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.

For Wed, 2/10, close:

No change from 2/9

For Tue, 2/9, close:

Gold Stock models: The prediction numbers are positive now.The model gave a buy signal on the close, 1/21 with XAU at 159.49. The model is now back in cash. Usually there is a one-day advance notice of a signal, this is unusual. The model gives a new buy signal, based on Monday's close, XAU at 149.34. Stop loss will be 141.20, Target Profit will be 165.00.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers are mildly negative. Currently 100% in cash. Signal just ended made 2.0%.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ... currently this model is 100% in cash.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is short 33% from 1092.40. I lightened up on my short position when the SP500 was below 1060 on Friday, and will re-establish that short position if the SP500 gets above 1083.00 this week.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Mode [explanation] : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Previous signal: went Long the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.

For Mon, 2/8, close:

Gold Stock models: The prediction numbers are positive now.The model gave a buy signal on the close, 1/21 with XAU at 159.49. The model is now back in cash. My reading of the prediction numbers is that there will be at least another 3% run up from the Friday closing prices.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers are mildly negative. The model will be back to 100% in cash on the close today, 2/8. As I wrote, the SP500 did go below 1060 on Friday so I exited 100% of the short position then.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ... currently this model is 100% in cash.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is short 33% from 1092.40. I lightened up on my short position when the SP500 was below 1060 on Friday, and will re-establish that short position if the SP500 gets above 1083.00 this week.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Model : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Previous signal: wentLong the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.

For Fri, 2/5, close:

The models are set up to be purely mechanical, to be easy to trade and help to eliminate emotion. Two days ago the Gold Stock model was only a couple days away from the planned exit (which was 2/4/10). The model had clawed its way back to breakeven two days ago, and with only 2 days left in the trade, I exited at near breakeven on the trade. I will try to report what I am doing with the trades, but I will report the performance of the models as if traded strictly by the trading rules.

Gold Stock models: The prediction numbers are positive now.The model gave a buy signal on the close, 1/21 with XAU at 159.49. The model is now back in cash.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Currently, the overall prediction numbers are mildly positive. Currently, on a Sell signal. It is short from 1776.90. Friday, 2/4, is the 3rd day, so the model says to sell 1/2 the position on the close on 2/4/10 (the 3rd day of the trade), and the other 1/2 position on the close Monday, 2/7/10 (the 4th day of the trade). If the SP500 opens lower tomorrow or if it reaches about 1060 anytime on 2/4/10, I will likely close out my whole position with a nice gain.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ... currently this model is 100% in cash. It will go to a Long position on the close ONLY IF the VXN (nasdaq volatility) closes the day below 24.82.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is short 33% from 1092.40.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Model : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Previous signal: wentLong the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.

For Thur, 2/4, close:
Gold Stock models: The prediction numbers are positive now. The model gave a buy signal on the close, 1/21 with XAU at 159.49. If the XAU were to get up to 176.05, then profits should be taken at that point. If the XAU continues lower, then the model would use 146.80 as a Stop Loss point to liquidate the position. If neither is hit, then the position will be liquidated in 9-10 trading days. This long signal will officially exit the position and go back to cash on the close Thursday, 2/4.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : the model was 100% in cash. Currently, the overall prediction numbers are mildly positive. On a new Sell signal. It is short from 1776.90.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ... currently this model is 100% in cash. It will go to a Long position on the close ONLY IF the VXN (nasdaq volatility) closes below 25.08.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is short 33% from 1092.40.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Model : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Previous signal: went Long the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.

For Wed, 2/3, close:
Gold Stock models: The prediction numbers are positive now. The model gave a buy signal on the close, 1/21 with XAU at 159.49. If the XAU were to get up to 176.05, then profits should be taken at that point. If the XAU continues lower, then the model would use 146.80 as a Stop Loss point to liquidate the position. If neither is hit, then the position will be liquidated in 9-10 trading days. This long signal will officially exit the position on the close Thursday, 2/4.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : the model was 100% in cash. Currently, the overall prediction numbers are negative. New Sell signal. It is short from 1776.90.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ... currently this model is 100% in cash.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is short 33% from 1092.40.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Model : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Previous signal: went Long the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.

For Tue, 2/2, close:
Gold Stock models: The prediction numbers are positive now. The model gave a buy signal on the close, 1/21 with XAU at 159.49. If the XAU were to get up to 176.05, then profits should be taken at that point. If the XAU continues lower, then the model would use 146.80 as a Stop Loss point to liquidate the position. If neither is hit, then the position will be liquidated in 9-10 trading days. This long signal will officially exit the position on the close Thursday, 2/4.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : the model was 100% in cash. Currently, the overall prediction numbers are negative. New Sell signal. It will go short on the close 2/2.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not consistently trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ... currently this model is 100% in cash. There will be a new sell signal on the close 2/2 ONLY IF the VXN (nasdaq volatility) is above 24.85.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is short 33% from 1092.40.
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Model : This model switched to cash at 1096.78 (on the close 1/25/10). Previous signal: went Long the SP500 on 3/30/09 at 787.53.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.