Sunday, August 30, 2009

On Mon, 8/31, close:
Gold Stock models: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

NDX Nasdaq 100: 2 Models to follow
More Volatile Model: will go to a short position.
Less Volatile
Model: will remain in a short position.

Gold Stock Overall Short Term Model: will remain in a short position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : No change... This model is now in a 67% long position... from 1001.00 SP500. The overall strength of the Long position is definitely weakening.

SP500 Weekly Trade: No trade this week.

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Thursday, August 27, 2009

On Fri, 8/28, close:
Gold Stock models: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will go to a cash position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will go to a cash position on the close.

NDX Nasdaq 100: 2 Models to follow
More Volatile Model: will remain in a Long position.
Less Volatile
Model: will remain in a short position.

Gold Stock Overall Short Term Model: will go to a short position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : No change... This model is now in a 67% long position... from 1001.00 SP500.

SP500 Weekly Trade: If we get up to 1049, basis the SP500, sell and set a 1.5% stop loss.

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

On Thur, 8/27, close:
Gold Stock models: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will go to a Long position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will go to a cash position on the close.

NDX Nasdaq 100: 2 Models to follow
More Volatile Model: will remain in a Long position.
Less Volatile
Model: will remain in a short position.

Gold Stock Overall Short Term Model: will go to a Long position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : No change... This model is now in a 67% long position... from 1001.00 SP500.

SP500 Weekly Trade: If we get up to 1049, basis the SP500, sell and set a 1.5% stop loss.

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

On Wed, 8/26, close:
Gold Stock models: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a short position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a short position on the close.

NDX Nasdaq 100: 2 Models to follow
More Volatile Model: will go to a Long position.
Less Volatile
Model: will remain in a short position.

Gold Stock Overall Short Term Model: will remain in a short position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : No change... This model is now in a 67% long position... from 1001.00 SP500.

SP500 Weekly Trade: If we get up to 1049, basis the SP500, sell and set a 1.5% stop loss.

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Monday, August 24, 2009

On Tue, 8/25, close:
Gold Stock models: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will go to a short position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will go to a short position on the close.

NDX Nasdaq 100: 2 Models to follow
More Volatile Model: will go to a short position.
Less Volatile
Model: will remain in a short position.

Gold Stock Overall Short Term Model: will remain in a short position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : No change... This model is now in a 67% long position... from 1001.00 SP500. This model is boring, doesn't trade much. But was up 20% last year and is up 21.0% this year, as of Friday.

SP500 Weekly Trade: If we get up to 1049, basis the SP500, sell and set a 1.5% stop loss.

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

On Mon, 8/24, close:
Gold Stock models: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

NDX More Volatile Model: will remain in a Long position.
NDX Less Volatile Model: will remain in a short position.

Gold Stock Overall Short Term Model: will go to a short position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : No change... This model is now in a 67% long position... from 1001.00 SP500. This model is boring, doesn't trade much. But was up 20% last year and is up 21.0% this year, as of Friday.

SP500 Weekly Trade: If we get up to 1049, basis the SP500, sell and set a 1.5% stop loss.

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

On Thur, 8/20, close:
Gold Stock models: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a short position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

NDX More Volatile Model: will remain in a Long position.
NDX Less Volatile Model: will remain in a short position.

Gold Stock Overall Short Term Model: will remain in a short position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : No change... This model is now in a 67% long position.

SP500 Weekly Trade: If we get up to 1030, basis the SP500, sell and keep a 2% stop loss.

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

On Wed, 8/19, close:
Gold Stock models: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will go to a short position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

NDX More Volatile Model: will go to a Long position.
NDX Less Volatile Model: will remain in a short position.

Gold Stock Overall Short Term Model: Different than the above 2 Gold Stock models. This Overall model is always Long or Short and combines the above 2 models and 4 other models. I have been watching it, but will start reporting it. It went short on the close 8/4. It went Long on the close 8/12. It went Short on the close 8/13. It will remain in a short position on the close tomorrow.

SP500 Long Term Model : No change... This model is now in a 67% long position.

SP500 Weekly Trade: If we get up to 1030, basis the SP500, sell and keep a 2% stop loss.

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Monday, August 17, 2009

On Tue, 8/18, close:
Gold stock Trading: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

NDX More Volatile Model: will remain in a short position.
NDX Less Volatile Model: will remain in a short position.
** Trading the above 4 Models (Gold More Volatile, Gold Less Volatile, NDX More Volatile and NDX Less Volatle), using DGP and DZZ gold ETFs and QLD and QID Nazdaq ETFs, for the past 1 month, I have realized a 3.5% gain, while being in cash about 37% of the time. **

SP500 Long Term Model : No change... This model is now in a 67% long position.

SP500 Weekly Trade: If we get up to 1030, basis the SP500, sell and keep a 2% stop loss.

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Sunday, August 16, 2009

On Mon, 8/17, close:
Gold stock Trading: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

NDX More Volatile Model (is always long or short): will remain in a short position.
NDX Less Volatile Model (is in cash about 60% of the time): will remain in a short position.

SP500 Long Term Model : No change... This model is now in a 67% long position.

SP500 Weekly Trade: If we get up to 1030, basis the SP500, sell and keep a 2% stop loss.

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

On Fri, 8/14, close:
Gold stock Trading: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will go to a cash position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

NDX More Volatile Model (is always long or short): will remain in a short position.
NDX Less Volatile Model (is in cash about 60% of the time): will remain in a short position.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is now in a 67% long position.

SP500 Weekly Trade: Long from 1001, RAISE STOP to 1002 for Friday. Exit position if SP500 gets up to 1022.00

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

On Thur, 8/13, close:
Gold stock Trading: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a long position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will go to a cash position on the close.

NDX More Volatile Model (is always long or short): will remain in a short position.
NDX Less Volatile Model (is in cash about 60% of the time): will remain in a short position.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is now in a 67% long position.

SP500 Weekly Trade: Long from 1001, with a stop loss at 982. Exit position if SP500 gets up to 1022.00

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

On Wed, 8/12, close:
Gold stock Trading: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will go to a long position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will go to a long position on the close.

NDX More Volatile Model (is always long or short): will remain in a short position.
NDX Less Volatile Model (is in cash about 60% of the time): will remain in a short position.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is now in a 67% long position.

SP500 Weekly Trade: Long from 1001, with a stop loss at 982. Exit position if SP500 gets up to 1022.00

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Monday, August 10, 2009

On Tue, 8/11, close:
Gold stock Trading: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

NDX More Volatile Model (is always long or short): will remain in a short position.
NDX Less Volatile Model (is in cash about 60% of the time): will remain in a short position.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is now in a 67% long position.

SP500 Weekly Trade: Long from 1001, with a stop loss at 982. Exit position if SP500 gets up to 1022.00

NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Sunday, August 9, 2009

On Mon, 8/10, close:
Gold stock Trading: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model will move to 67% long position on the open Monday. I will likely look to buy slightly lower than the open.

SP500 Weekly Trade: Says to BUY if SP500 gets down to 1001, with a stop loss at 982. Exit position if SP500 gets up to 1022.00


NDX More Volatile
Model (is always long or short): will remain in a short position.
NDX Less Volatile Model (is in cash about 60% of the time): will remain in a short position.
NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Thursday, August 6, 2009

On Fri, 8/7, close:
Gold stock Trading: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is now 100% in cash as of the close Friday with SP500 at 987.48. Will not change until next weekend.

SP500 Weekly Trade: Sold at 996.00 on Monday. Use a 1015.00 stop loss. Exit the short if the SP500 gets down to 975.00.

NDX More Volatile
Model (is always long or short): will remain in a short position.
NDX Less Volatile Model (is in cash about 60% of the time): will remain in a short position.
NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

On Thur, 8/6, close:
Gold stock Trading: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is now 100% in cash as of the close Friday with SP500 at 987.48. Will not change until next weekend.

SP500 Weekly Trade: Sold at 996.00 on Monday. Use a 1015.00 stop loss. Exit the short if the SP500 gets down to 975.00.

NDX More Volatile
Model (is always long or short): will remain in a short position.
NDX Less Volatile Model (is in cash about 60% of the time): will remain in a short position.
NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Note:
Trading the More and Less volatile Gold Models AND the More and Less volatile NDX Models for the last 2 weeks, is up 1.9% while being in cash 40% of the time.

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

On Wed, 8/5, close:
Gold stock Trading: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is now 100% in cash as of the close Friday with SP500 at 987.48. Will not change until next weekend.

SP500 Weekly Trade: Sold at 996.00 on Monday. Use a 1015.00 stop loss. Exit the short if the SP500 gets down to 975.00.

NDX More Volatile
Model (is always long or short): will remain in a short position.
NDX Less Volatile Model (is in cash about 60% of the time): will remain in a short position.
NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Monday, August 3, 2009

Gold stock Trading: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will go to a cash position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is now 100% in cash as of the close Friday with SP500 at 987.48. Will not change until next weekend.

SP500 Weekly Trade: Sold at 996.00 on Monday. Use a 1014.00 stop loss. Exit the short if the SP500 gets down to 975.00.

NDX More Volatile
Model (is always long or short): will remain in a short position.
NDX Less Volatile Model (is in cash about 60% of the time): will remain in a short position.
NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash.

Sunday, August 2, 2009

Gold stock Trading: 2 Models to follow, one is more volatile:
More Volatile Model: will remain in a long position on the close.
Less Volatile Model: will remain in a cash position on the close.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model is now 100% in cash as of the close Friday with SP500 at 987.48. Will not change until next weekend.

SP500 Weekly Trade: If the market starts higher this week, sell if the SP500 gets up to 996.00 on Monday or Tuesday. Use a 1014.00 stop loss. Exit the short if the SP500 gets down to 972.00.


NDX More Volatile
Model (is always long or short): will remain in a short position.
NDX Less Volatile Model (is in cash about 60% of the time): will go to a short position.
NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : Is back 100% in cash. This model, which is in cash most of the time, with one trade every 3 weeks, is up about 8.2% for the year.

Long-Short Model : will be: long DOW, short NDX.