Wednesday, September 15, 2010

For Thur, 9/16, close:


Gold Stock model: The prediction numbers are slightly positive. The model is 100% cash, as of the close, 8/20/10  

NDX Nasdaq 100: 
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : the model is now 100% Short. This short term model has not traded well this year but did give a SELL signal on the close 9/15/10, for 3-4 days.



Currently, the overall prediction numbers are positive. 

The NDX Trading Model ... this model is 100% in cash. 
On the close 9/1/10 the model went long, 1820.10. ONLY IF the nasdaq volatility (VXN) closes at 22.87 or lower, THEN the model will go LONG on the close 9/15/10. The Model so far this year, as reported here, is up about 16.0%.

SP500 Long Term Model : This model changes to Long 100% on the close Monday, 9/7/10. This is a whipsaw... but you have to stay with the model and not try to outguess it. 
Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Model : This model will go to 100% Long on the close Monday, 9/7/10. We will stay with the model.
Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%.

No comments: