For Tue, 1/19, close:
Gold Stock models: The prediction numbers are positive now. The model is in a 100% cash position. There is a chance that we could get a buy signal for Wednesday's close. For 2010, so far, the gold stock model is up +4.6%.

NDX Nasdaq 100:
The NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model has a 3 year history of generating profits, and trades about once every 3 weeks. For 2009, 15 trades, up +8.2%. (2008 was an unusual year, up +66%). NDX Short-term, 3-4 day Model : the model is now 100% in cash. For 2010, so far, this model is down -1.2%. Currently, the overall prediction numbers are neutral/negative.

There is another NDX model that deserves watching. I am not actively trading it until it proves itself. The NDX model moves in and out of long and short positions. NDX Model: ... currently this model is 100% long, but says to get SHORT the NDX from 1874.00 or higher.

SP500 Long Term Model : Last change in position: From 100% Long to 67% Long position on the close 12/31, at 1115.00. Up +30.5% for 2009. For 2008, up +22.9%. This model does not usually switch often. At 1104.00 for the SP500, the model will move to a 100% Long position again (currently 67% long). For 2010, so far, the SP500 model is up +1.3%.

SP500 Long Term "Long Only" Model : Went Long the Market 3/30/09 at 787.53. Still in a Long position, 100% invested in the stock market. Up +37.7% for 2009. For 2008 it was down -4.0%. For 2010, so far, the SP500 "Long Only" model is up +1.9%.

Portfolio Approach: Dividing one's portfolio between 3 models (see the blog on 12/31/09), we have so far for 2010: Gold Stock Model up +4.6%, the SP 500 Model up +1.3% and the NDX 3-4 Day Model down -1.2%.
Currently, as of 1/18/10, the Gold Stock model is 100% in cash, SP500 model 33% in cash, and NDX 3-4 Day model is 100% in cash.